AleaHourly

The solution generates short term forecasts, up to 10 days horizon, with the desired interval : hour, half-hour, quarter of an hour or minute.

• The solution is installed customised to your needs.
• AleaHourly is able to develop different kind of demand forecasts: national, regional, by kind of consumer (domestic, industrial) etc...
• Data can be aggregated or disaggregated.
• The solution deals with long series, of unlimited length
• Once the forecast models have been developed by our specialists and included in AleaHourly, the solution works automatically.
  • An adaptive scheme updates the model parameters on a ongoing basis, so a user without statistical knowledge can operate the solution.
  • The solution is automatically updated with demand and weather data. The solution can be set to automatically update data and develop forecasts at a fixed time every day.
• AleaHourly includes functionalities to analyze the variability, useful for decision making:
  • Temperature scenarios.
  • Confidence interval information, that give information about complementary forecasts to consider in the decision making.
• The solution provides useful information to the user:
  • Visualisation of data involved in the forecasting, for a better understanding of the process.
  • A report function provides information on the results of forecasts.
  • To monitor the impact of temperature forecasts upon the demand forecast, AleaHourly allows to carry out projections over previous dates, with real and forecasted temperatures.
• Automatisation: a custom-made installation allows an automatic operation. The system can be configured to automatically update data, generate forecasts and distribute the results, at a certain hour.